Just for the record...

Hola! despues de mucho tiempo sin publicar, solo para que quede constancia:
Esperando movimiento bajista en el EURUSD, en la vista diaria. Objetivo final para 1 o 2 meses: 1.05000.

Hi!! after a long time without posting, just for the record:
Waiting EURUSD beraish movement on Daily timeframe. Final Target for 2 or 3 months: 1.05000

EURCHF Follow Up

Here the very Big picture of this pair. Red lines are the same length. Interesting to see the measured move of price action of the bearish swings. What we se here is a Complex Corrective Pattern.

Below, detailed view of the last part of the pattern.

I insist… S&P Bearish Head and Shoulders in the making

After the clearly defined 5 waves bullish move, price is unfolding an ABC correction pattern, now at possible wave B completion as seen in Chart 2. Is important to note, as seen in Chart 1,  that even though price rejected from 38.2 Fib Retracement level, it entered and broke 38.2 Fib Fan Channel, giving high possibilities of reaching 61.8 level. Finally, but not less important, is the possible Head and Shoulders pattern seen in Chart 3. Note the symmetry shown between the time spent by price to go from Left Shoulder date to Head and from Head to the possible Right Shoulder (71 days).

Chart 1. Elliott Wave counting.

Chart 2. Wave B of possible ABC correction.

Chart 3. Possible daily Bearish Head and Shoulders in the making.

USDJPY Head and Shoulders… si, pero no

Lo que se veía venir como un Head and Shoulders ( http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2010/01/anatomia-de-un-head-and-shoulders-en.html ), ha resultado ser una variación del mismo, conocida como “diamond formation”. No es mas que un Head and Shoulders con su hombro derecho desplazado hacia abajo. En este patrón, el precio debe ser contenido por la línea de tendencia formada entre el top de la cabeza y el top del hombro derecho, que actúa como resistencia dinámica. El potencial del patrón es la medida en pips entre la cabeza y mínimo anterior al top del hombro derecho, en este caso unos 300 pips, proyectados desde el rompimiento de la base del hombro derecho. Según lo anterior, el precio debería buscar niveles de 87.72.

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USDCAD, Bearish Harmonic Pattern (Butterfly)

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USDCAD, m5. Possible Bearish Head and Shoulders

If confirmed (break and retest of neckline), this will be a nice 80 pips move. Si se confirma (rompimiento y retest de la línea de cuello), este sera un bonito movimiento de 80 pips.

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Possible Bearish Gartley in EURUSD Daily TF

If price breaks bearish 1.4200 level, there will be big probabilities for this pattern to unfold. -

USDCAD H4 Bearish Head and Shoulders… follow up

Nice unfolding of this Head and Shoulders Top.

Spotted on July 13

Nice unfolding. Green rectangle shows Head and Shoulder Pattern.

The pattern located within the bearish trend

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USDJPY, very low risk Short Entry (H&S Pattern)

Additionally to the bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern showed above, COT report (Commitment of Traders) analysis (below) for USDJPY, shows that the Non Commercials has been flipped to a Net Short position, after 16 weeks of indecision, which corresponds with the time expended for the H&S pattern to conform. Rising red line, which shows Open Interest development, means that new money is jumping into the market. I`ll maintain this trade until the COT report flips again but to a Net Long position and i will do it in a demo account, since is my first time in this kind of analysis.

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USDCAD H4 Bearish H&S… end of bullish correction?

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Definitely very good bearish opportunity in GBPJPY

Important to note that from 5 min to H4 timeframe, all MA`s are positioned in bearish “trend mode”

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GBPJPY poised for a bearish move

Based on my previous post on june 22th ( http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/gbpjpy-h4-head-and-shoulders-in-making.html ), and after the  possible bearish H&S`s neckline has been broken and retested, i think this pair will unfold a big bearish move of about 700 pips. despite of the H&S pattern, is very important to note that moving averages in H4 time frame, are positioning in bearish “trend mode”.

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S&P bearish Head and Shoulders, coherent with Elliott Wave counting

Continuing with my forecast done in June 15th ( see http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/s-heading-for-bullish-head-and.html ), i see actual S&P index moves being coherent with the fact that the index is unfolding a bearish correction after 5 impulsive waves (i, ii, iii, iv & v), to conform wave 2 (ABC) of a bigger bullish move (5 bullish impulsive waves). Is very important to note that this bearish correction is being made thru the conformation of a possible bearish H&S in H4 time frame  I`ll wait for H&S`s neckline break and retest for confirmation.

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USDCOP… bonito cierre de semana para los “bears”

El par se mueve de acuerdo a lo proyectado http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/usdcop-5-ondas-impulsivas-bajistas.html Las franjas semanal y diaria muestran la dificultad de de cerrar por encima del soporte, ahora convertido en resistencia, en el nivel de 2.165

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USDCOP, 5 ondas impulsivas… bajistas

Tal y como lo proyecte en el post anterior ( http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/usdcop-retroceso-justo-y-necesario.html ), era de esperarse un retroceso en este par (devaluación del peso). Dicha proyección podría haber sido completada con el máximo obtenido hoy (2.182). Dicho nivel, coincide con 2 niveles Fib Fan importantes, además del nivel de soporte convertido ahora en resistencia alrededor de 2.165. Adicionalmente, el precio ha caído desde el máximo en 2.608 desenvolviendo un patrón 4 ondas (actualmente en la cuarta). Lo que espero es que la onda 5 haya empezado en el máximo anterior (2.182) y e proyecte al área de 1.892-1.844.

La línea verde descendente corresponde al Nivel Fib Fan del 38.2%. Aunque no se muestra en la grafica, el precio se devolvió en el nivel de 2.182 (en el recuadro verde pequeño) y es de esperarse que la onda 5 se proyecte de acuerdo a las líneas rojas punteadas, hasta el área del recuadro verde grande.

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GBPJPY, H4 Head and Shoulders in the making

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Continuation Head and Shoulders Pattern… yes, it exists

As a very interesting fact, i want to show this M5 “Continuation Head and Shoulders” pattern.

Como algo intersante, quiero mostrar este Head and Shoulders actuando como patron de continuidad.

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EURUSD, Follow up, new entry opportunity

Within the bearish scenario forecasted previously http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/eurusd-pullback-great-opportunity.html , this is another opportunity for a nice profit of this pullback. Interesting to note that the head of this possible Head and Shoulders, corresponds to the previous H1 Head and Shoulders, already unfolded.   Dentro del escenario bajista proyectado previamente http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/eurusd-pullback-great-opportunity.html , esta es otra oportunidad para una ganar en este pullback. Interesante notar que la cabeza de este Head and Shoulders corresponde con el Head and Shoulders en la franja de una hora previamente identificado y totalmente desarrollado.

EURUSD Pullback, great opportunity before resuming bullish movements

EURUSD is pulling back after a Bearish Gartley unfolding.

El EURUSD esta retrocediendo después del desarrollo de un Gartley bajista.

The entry for this 465 pips opportunity could be this H1 Bearish Head and Shoulders.

La entrada para esta oportunidad de 465 pips puede ser este Head and Shoulders en la franja H1

Is important to note that the EURUSD is within a bigger Bearish Gartley, now unfolding leg CD.

Meaning that EURUSD will resume its bullish movements after the pullback.

Es importante anotar que el EURUSD esta dentro de un Gartley bajista mayor, que ahora esta desarrollando la pierna CD.

Lo anterior quiere decir que se espera que después de este pullbak, el EURUSD retome sus movimientos alcistas.

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USDJPY H4/Daily Bearish Head & Shoulders

 

This monthly flat triangle is breaking bearish. Actually price retested broken trend line and is in its way to make a new lower low in the monthly time frame. Este triangulo plano esta rompiendo a la baja. Actualmente el precio esta camino a hacer un mínimo menor en la franja mensual. What is very interesting and make a very nice opportunity to enter short now, is that price is unfolding a bearish head and shoulder, remarked in the green square and showed in the chart below. Lo que es muy interesante y representa una oportunidad para entrar cortos ahora, es que el precio esta desenvolviendo un Head and Shoulders bajista, enmarcado en el recuadro verde y el cual se muestra en la grafica de abajo.

 

 

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