Mar de Leva (swell waves) en Cartagena de Indias - Colombia

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Possible Bearish Gartley in EURUSD Daily TF

2009-09-02_0943
If price breaks bearish 1.4200 level, there will be big probabilities for this pattern to unfold.
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Friday, August 21, 2009

S&P Wave ii (bearish) finished

As we can see, the new high after the AB=CD bearish correction confirms that wave ii is just finished.
2009-08-21_1010
The wave ii mentioned above act as bigger bullish Head and Shoulder`s neckline retest.
Since wave iii can not be the smaller wave of the 5 impulsive waves, we can expect this wave to have, at least, wave i`s measure. That give us a projection to, at least, 1.145.31 level, which corresponds with 61.8 fib retracement level of the entire move from October/2007 high to March/2009 low.
I think that from now on, we can expect Huge moves, do to the fact that prices are now unfolding wave iii of a bigger wave 3.
2009-08-21_0953
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Monday, August 17, 2009

S&P Wave ii (bearish) in progress

Finally prices begun to correct, unfolding wave ii within the bigger bullish wave 3. I expect this correction to finish within the fib zone remarked with the green rectangle.
Since the next bullish move after wave ii end will be wave iii of a bigger wave 3, is expected to be a huge and maybe violent move.
 S&P_Wave2
The big picture should be like the graph below
 S&P_BigPicture
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Friday, July 31, 2009

Stocks, bottom confirmed?

With bullish Head and Shoulder`s neckline already broken, i`ll should wait for a decisive retest of this one; but due to GDP number better than expected released this morning, continuation without a pullback for retest could be possible.
For detailed explanation of my forecast, see my videocast @ http://www.screencast.com/users/GustavoForex/folders/Swelltrader/media/8f6e9875-9ad1-422c-a6b1-332d0600e0cb  
2009-07-31_1211
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USDCAD H4 Bearish Head and Shoulders… follow up

Nice unfolding of this Head and Shoulders Top.
Spotted on July 13
2009-07-13_1649
Nice unfolding. Green rectangle shows Head and Shoulder Pattern.
2009-07-31_1156
The pattern located within the bearish trend
2009-07-31_1156_001
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Oil, continuation Head and Shoulders?

2009-07-31_0934
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Thursday, July 23, 2009

Bullish Head and Shoulder almost confirmed, bottoming too…

On July 9th, i posted my forecast for DJI and S&P (view http://swelltrader.blogspot.com/2009/07/stocks-market-major-bottom-in-making.html ).
I was expecting price to unfold a short term Bearish H&S in both indexes, which should conform right shoulder of a bigger bullish H&S patter which, if confirmed, should mark bottoming of bearish move since actual economic crisis beginning.
The bearish H&S, was a fake. Price broke neckline and pulled back to retest but it didn't and continued bullish until actual prices.
The bearish move was nothing more than an AB=CD pattern which finished @ 8.087.32  in DJI and @ 869.73 in S&P.

After the bearish move, prices begun to move bullish to actual levels, reaching and breaking bigger Bullish H&S`s Neckline.

I expect price pullback to retest broken neckline and continue rising to reach H&S and Fibonacci fibfans+Fibonacci Retracements projections (green rectangles)

Important to note that Elliott Wave counting shows that prices are now unfolding wave 3 of the entire move from the very low in March 06/2009.

2009-07-23_0942
2009-07-23_1006
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Performance

Here i`ll post my performance on a USD 200 demo account. After trading for 2 months, i`ll create a new one.

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